With anticipation building around the possibility of a spot XRP ETF being approved by the U.S. SEC, XRP holders and crypto investors are asking one big question: Could XRP hit $10 if the green light comes tomorrow? With odds climbing and momentum surging, this once far-fetched scenario is beginning to look more realistic.
Why the ETF Buzz Is So Significant for XRP
The cryptocurrency world knows what an ETF approval can do—just ask Bitcoin. After spot Bitcoin ETFs were launched, the market witnessed a wave of institutional capital, pushing BTC to new highs. Now, with XRP being floated as the next contender for a spot ETF, expectations are soaring. If such a fund were approved tomorrow, it could trigger a powerful market reaction, potentially pushing XRP toward the $10 milestone.
Currently priced just below $2.50, XRP has formed a bullish technical pattern known as a “bull flag,” suggesting an imminent breakout. Technical analysts point out that once resistance is breached, a steep rally could follow—possibly even accelerating XRP’s move beyond $10 and toward $17 if momentum holds.
Market Optimism Is Growing
The buzz isn’t just speculative chatter. Analysts at Bloomberg have upped the probability of an XRP ETF approval to 85%, citing a friendlier regulatory climate following the resolution of the SEC’s lawsuit against Ripple. Over on Polymarket, a decentralized prediction platform, traders are placing 80% odds on the ETF approval becoming reality, reflecting growing confidence within the community.
While these are just probabilities, the mood shift in both traditional and decentralized finance sectors is unmistakable.
XRP Could Follow Bitcoin’s ETF Playbook
Let’s take a closer look at what happened with Bitcoin. After the approval of multiple spot BTC ETFs, over $6.4 billion poured in within just two months. During that period, Bitcoin surged approximately 55%. If XRP experiences a similar trajectory post-ETF approval, we could see the price rise from around $2.50 to roughly $3.90 in the same timeframe.
But that’s just the beginning. According to JPMorgan estimates cited in earlier reports, XRP ETFs could attract around $8 billion in capital inflows. Applying the “market cap multiplier” theory—a common tool used to assess how inflows might translate into price action—some analysts argue this could push XRP as high as $15. That kind of movement would catapult Ripple’s market cap to over $589 billion, placing it right behind Bitcoin and likely overtaking Ethereum.
Is $10 a Realistic Target?
If the ETF is approved tomorrow, $10 might not be reached immediately—but it’s well within range. Given the current price structure, institutional interest, and favorable regulatory outlook, XRP hitting $10 in a matter of weeks or months post-approval isn’t outlandish.
However, investors should temper excitement with caution. The crypto market is known for its volatility, and while a spot ETF could open floodgates of liquidity, there are still macroeconomic factors and market risks to consider.
Final Thoughts
An SEC green light for a spot XRP ETF could dramatically alter Ripple’s trajectory. With bullish technical patterns forming, investor optimism climbing, and institutional players eyeing the altcoin space beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum, XRP is in a prime position to benefit.
If approval comes tomorrow, don’t be surprised if XRP starts marching quickly toward $10—and potentially even beyond.
